Re: The 2020-2021 Season Thread
Posted: Mon Dec 14, 2020 12:53 pm
When the dust settles, those are the four I expect to earn bids this year. AZ and Stanford will battle for that fourth one.
A co-op community for Arizona Fans
http://www.beardownwildcats.com/
The crazy part is that he's shooting 10-16 from 3 in two games.97cats wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 1:19 pm 51.9% - 83.3% - 41.4%
solid first five games - i suspect those numbers wont maintain.
however, if they do, they are all Pac12 first team and All-American consideration like numbers.
Dare I say... Allonzo Trier-esque shooting97cats wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 1:19 pm 51.9% - 83.3% - 41.4%
solid first five games - i suspect those numbers wont maintain.
however, if they do, they are all Pac12 first team and All-American consideration like numbers.
I'm at a point where I really don't like being reliant on excellent 3 point shooting to win games. Unless we've got Salim on the roster, 3 point shooting is going to be very hot and cold. I've seen too many AZ players/teams who can't miss one night and then can't throw it in the ocean the next.Spaceman Spiff wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 1:41 pm Actually, looking further, 3 point shooting is pretty much what defines our margin of victory.
In Grambling, EWU and UTEP, we shot 12-49 from 3.
In NAU and CSB, we shot 25-50 from 3.
There are other stats that vary up and down, but none quite as dramatically. We're literally 2x as good at shooting 3's in the games we've won by >20 as we are in games we've won by <20.
We've had slightly better assist #'s in the games we've won, and better overall shooting #, both of which are consistent with hitting more threes.
Trier also had a much shorter 3 point line to do it.YoDeFoe wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 4:57 pmDare I say... Allonzo Trier-esque shooting97cats wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 1:19 pm 51.9% - 83.3% - 41.4%
solid first five games - i suspect those numbers wont maintain.
however, if they do, they are all Pac12 first team and All-American consideration like numbers.![]()
Heard about the UCLA game this morning.ByJoveByJingle wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 7:06 pm I love how we learn a game has been cancelled by turning to the channel and some random replay is on instead of the game. UCLA/LBSU The latest game to be preempted by football replays.
That’s what I get for working.azgreg wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 7:13 pmHeard about the UCLA game this morning.ByJoveByJingle wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 7:06 pm I love how we learn a game has been cancelled by turning to the channel and some random replay is on instead of the game. UCLA/LBSU The latest game to be preempted by football replays.
Two thoughts. First, for all the criticism of Miller not being modern, the emphasis on either shooting 3's or dunks/layups and NOT midrange shots is a pretty modern philosophy.Beachcat97 wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 6:48 pmI'm at a point where I really don't like being reliant on excellent 3 point shooting to win games. Unless we've got Salim on the roster, 3 point shooting is going to be very hot and cold. I've seen too many AZ players/teams who can't miss one night and then can't throw it in the ocean the next.Spaceman Spiff wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 1:41 pm Actually, looking further, 3 point shooting is pretty much what defines our margin of victory.
In Grambling, EWU and UTEP, we shot 12-49 from 3.
In NAU and CSB, we shot 25-50 from 3.
There are other stats that vary up and down, but none quite as dramatically. We're literally 2x as good at shooting 3's in the games we've won by >20 as we are in games we've won by <20.
We've had slightly better assist #'s in the games we've won, and better overall shooting #, both of which are consistent with hitting more threes.
I think a more balanced offense, with outstanding FT shooting, is a much better place to be.
$60KJefe wrote: Mon Dec 07, 2020 3:09 pmHow much are we paying these teams to come play us? Do they get paid before showing up?
Kick in some Buffalo Ranch Fries
In all fairness, the UA shouldn't be rated all that high either. Only FF appearance by an Arizona team in the last 2 decades was 2001. UCLA has 3, last one 2008.Beachcat97 wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 10:21 pm How is UCLA a better job than AZ again? Feels like that hasn't been true for a looooooong time.
AZ has shown for a long time now that it can draw elite talent (ie: first round draft picks) as often as any program not named Kentucky or Duke. We can pay as much or more than UCLA. Beautiful campus, excellent location for recruiting, and a lot of coaches out there may prefer the golf/resort lifestyle more than SoCal beaches. A 4 to 5 million dollar salary is going to go MUCH further in Tucson than in L.A., so there's that too.Merkin wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:33 amIn all fairness, the UA shouldn't be rated all that high either. Only FF appearance by an Arizona team in the last 2 decades was 2001. UCLA has 3, last one 2008.Beachcat97 wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 10:21 pm How is UCLA a better job than AZ again? Feels like that hasn't been true for a looooooong time.
But outside of records, UCLA should be a better job. Beautiful campus, right in the middle of a great recruiting hotbed, with better weather, beaches, and other activities that Tucson cannot compete with.
So, I'll double down on the above. UTEP beat ASU last night with ASU shooting 1-19 from 3.Spaceman Spiff wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 7:41 pmTwo thoughts. First, for all the criticism of Miller not being modern, the emphasis on either shooting 3's or dunks/layups and NOT midrange shots is a pretty modern philosophy.Beachcat97 wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 6:48 pmI'm at a point where I really don't like being reliant on excellent 3 point shooting to win games. Unless we've got Salim on the roster, 3 point shooting is going to be very hot and cold. I've seen too many AZ players/teams who can't miss one night and then can't throw it in the ocean the next.Spaceman Spiff wrote: Tue Dec 15, 2020 1:41 pm Actually, looking further, 3 point shooting is pretty much what defines our margin of victory.
In Grambling, EWU and UTEP, we shot 12-49 from 3.
In NAU and CSB, we shot 25-50 from 3.
There are other stats that vary up and down, but none quite as dramatically. We're literally 2x as good at shooting 3's in the games we've won by >20 as we are in games we've won by <20.
We've had slightly better assist #'s in the games we've won, and better overall shooting #, both of which are consistent with hitting more threes.
I think a more balanced offense, with outstanding FT shooting, is a much better place to be.
Next, my positive take is that we seem to know to shoot 3's less when we're not hitting. We've taken 16.3 threes a game when shooting poorly and 25 threes a game when shooting well.
That's what you want to see. Shoot more when they're going in. Games like UTEP, when you miss everything, we only took 9 threes, drove the ball hard, picked up fouls, made FT's and won. That's a solid approach.
This. The real question is how is UCLA not a better job than Arizona? To me UCLA is a sleeping giant that could arise at any time just like they did with Westbrook and Love equating to 3 straight Final Fours; something Arizona has never done. Arizona really hasn't been that relevant for almost 2 decades with zero Final Fours to prove it. And UCLA has so much more history and tradition. Personally I don't think they ever should have fired Ben Howland. I could care less about conference championships in a historically top heavy conference. UCLA only hangs national championship banners. All eleven of them. We have one. There's no comparison. UCLA is by far the better job.Merkin wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:33 amIn all fairness, the UA shouldn't be rated all that high either. Only FF appearance by an Arizona team in the last 2 decades was 2001. UCLA has 3, last one 2008.Beachcat97 wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 10:21 pm How is UCLA a better job than AZ again? Feels like that hasn't been true for a looooooong time.
But outside of records, UCLA should be a better job. Beautiful campus, right in the middle of a great recruiting hotbed, with better weather, beaches, and other activities that Tucson cannot compete with.
Yeah, except our one NC is more recent than all 11 of UCLA's. We draw sellouts every night. UCLA averaged 6,187 in a 13,800 seat arena last year.Captain Obvious wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 6:22 pmThis. The real question is how is UCLA not a better job than Arizona? To me UCLA is a sleeping giant that could arise at any time just like they did with Westbrook and Love equating to 3 straight Final Fours; something Arizona has never done. Arizona really hasn't been that relevant for almost 2 decades with zero Final Fours to prove it. And UCLA has so much more history and tradition. Personally I don't think they ever should have fired Ben Howland. I could care less about conference championships in a historically top heavy conference. UCLA only hangs national championship banners. All eleven of them. We have one. There's no comparison. UCLA is by far the better job.Merkin wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:33 amIn all fairness, the UA shouldn't be rated all that high either. Only FF appearance by an Arizona team in the last 2 decades was 2001. UCLA has 3, last one 2008.Beachcat97 wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 10:21 pm How is UCLA a better job than AZ again? Feels like that hasn't been true for a looooooong time.
But outside of records, UCLA should be a better job. Beautiful campus, right in the middle of a great recruiting hotbed, with better weather, beaches, and other activities that Tucson cannot compete with.
I don't disagree with a word of this, midnight...but this came up in the context of a different question: which is the better coaching job, AZ or UCLA?midnightx wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 7:36 pm During the Lute era, Arizona overtook UCLA as the preeminent program out west. Yes, UCLA won the title in '95, but AZ won it two years later in '97. During the second half of the 80's, throughout 90's, and during the first half of the 2000's, Arizona was far more consistent, with more final fours, more marquee wins, and a source for being a greater pipeline to the NBA. But then Lute's health started to falter and Howland had a great run with three final fours. Since that time, both programs have been inconsistent, with Miller's best years arguably eclipsing his counterparts at UCLA. Presently, neither is the best program out west, that distinction probably is shared between Gonzaga and Oregon (Altman directly benefitting the most from Arizona's NCAA issues and recruiting snafus).
I'd add that the conventional wisdom had Josh Pastner taking over if Miller had left for Maryland. It's worthwhile not to forget that the two non-Miller options we most likely had in the post-Lute era would have been gigantic dumpster fires.Chicat wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:27 pm We didn’t get our top choice last time we had a coaching search.
Of course that guy had no business being our top choice but Livengood was an idiot and that’s a whole different story.
Also, let’s not forget that Sean originally turned us down AND had one foot out the door to make what was very much a lateral move at one point.
I thought Sean was the only one we ever offered the job to, and that Floyd was interviewed but not offered.Chicat wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:27 pm We didn’t get our top choice last time we had a coaching search.
Of course that guy had no business being our top choice but Livengood was an idiot and that’s a whole different story.
https://www.espn.com/mens-college-baske ... id=4035206Beachcat97 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 9:58 amI thought Sean was the only one we ever offered the job to, and that Floyd was interviewed but not offered.Chicat wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:27 pm We didn’t get our top choice last time we had a coaching search.
Of course that guy had no business being our top choice but Livengood was an idiot and that’s a whole different story.
That was the story Livengood tried his hardest to spin because he didn't want anyone to think the mighty Arizona could have been turned down by a guy no fan or booster actually wanted.Beachcat97 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 9:58 amI thought Sean was the only one we ever offered the job to, and that Floyd was interviewed but not offered.Chicat wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:27 pm We didn’t get our top choice last time we had a coaching search.
Of course that guy had no business being our top choice but Livengood was an idiot and that’s a whole different story.
Fair enough. But that article doesn't prove the job was offered. Whatevs, not a big deal.Spaceman Spiff wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 10:19 amhttps://www.espn.com/mens-college-baske ... id=4035206Beachcat97 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 9:58 amI thought Sean was the only one we ever offered the job to, and that Floyd was interviewed but not offered.Chicat wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:27 pm We didn’t get our top choice last time we had a coaching search.
Of course that guy had no business being our top choice but Livengood was an idiot and that’s a whole different story.
Dude..., Sean turned us down and he was at a smaller school in a less prestigious conference. Arizona was the best college job he was ever offered and it took John Calipari talking him into reconsidering in an all-night phone call.Beachcat97 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 10:34 amFair enough. But that article doesn't prove the job was offered. Whatevs, not a big deal.Spaceman Spiff wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 10:19 amhttps://www.espn.com/mens-college-baske ... id=4035206Beachcat97 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 9:58 amI thought Sean was the only one we ever offered the job to, and that Floyd was interviewed but not offered.Chicat wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:27 pm We didn’t get our top choice last time we had a coaching search.
Of course that guy had no business being our top choice but Livengood was an idiot and that’s a whole different story.
I just find it a little strange Floyd wouldn't take the AZ job. At that point, we were for the most part a squeaky clean program with wind in our sails. If he really were offered AZ, that means he turned down the best college job he'll ever be offered. Does that make any sense? Which is more likely, that he turned down a fantastic job, or that the job wasn't really offered to him?
Well, the Arizona fanbase also had a very negative reaction to the hire. I tend to believe the basics of that article, which is that we offered, he accepted and the terms were being hashed out.Beachcat97 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 10:34 amFair enough. But that article doesn't prove the job was offered. Whatevs, not a big deal.Spaceman Spiff wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 10:19 amhttps://www.espn.com/mens-college-baske ... id=4035206Beachcat97 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 9:58 amI thought Sean was the only one we ever offered the job to, and that Floyd was interviewed but not offered.Chicat wrote: Thu Dec 17, 2020 10:27 pm We didn’t get our top choice last time we had a coaching search.
Of course that guy had no business being our top choice but Livengood was an idiot and that’s a whole different story.
I just find it a little strange Floyd wouldn't take the AZ job. At that point, we were for the most part a squeaky clean program with wind in our sails. If he really were offered AZ, that means he turned down the best college job he'll ever be offered. Does that make any sense? Which is more likely, that he turned down a fantastic job, or that the job wasn't really offered to him?
I'm a homer, but I don't think that Oregon's ahead of us. Altman has been at Oregon one less year than Miller's been here. During that time, Oregon has 1 Final Four, 1 Elite Eight and 2 Sweet 16's. They've won or tied 3 reg season Pac titles and 3 Pac tourney titles with an overall .717 win %.Beachcat97 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 11:50 am I can accept Tim Floyd turning down the AZ job, lol. It's just strange. Feels like Bill Self turning down Kansas.
Since we're on the topic, how about a list of the best current "west coast" college hoops jobs, provided they were actually available? Even though Arizona and UCLA have recently fallen behind Gonzaga and Oregon (and arguably SDSU) in the pecking order, it's questionable whether Zaga and OU would be more attractive jobs than AZ and UCLA on the open market. What is the best Pac job after AZ, UCLA and Oregon? Maybe Washington? What about smaller schools like LMU and Pepperdine and St. Mary's?
That's a great breakdown, spiff.Spaceman Spiff wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 12:10 pmI'm a homer, but I don't think that Oregon's ahead of us. Altman has been at Oregon one less year than Miller's been here. During that time, Oregon has 1 Final Four, 1 Elite Eight and 2 Sweet 16's. They've won or tied 3 reg season Pac titles and 3 Pac tourney titles with an overall .717 win %.Beachcat97 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 11:50 am I can accept Tim Floyd turning down the AZ job, lol. It's just strange. Feels like Bill Self turning down Kansas.
Since we're on the topic, how about a list of the best current "west coast" college hoops jobs, provided they were actually available? Even though Arizona and UCLA have recently fallen behind Gonzaga and Oregon (and arguably SDSU) in the pecking order, it's questionable whether Zaga and OU would be more attractive jobs than AZ and UCLA on the open market. What is the best Pac job after AZ, UCLA and Oregon? Maybe Washington? What about smaller schools like LMU and Pepperdine and St. Mary's?
We have 3 Elite Eights and 2 Sweet 16's. We've won or tied for 5 regular season Pac titles and gotten 3 Pac tourney titles with an overall .744 win % (including Miller's first .500 year). It's somewhat subjective, but we compare favorably in most metrics.
So, Zaga is a tough comparison to AZ or UCLA just because of the WCC. Being very successful in a low major conference is just fundamentally different in my mind in terms of job attractiveness. Some coaches might like it, some not so much.
In Pac jobs, I think UCLA and AZ are tied for #1. Oregon is #2 and then it's a steep drop. UW, Stanford and Cal would be my competitors for third just because of talent proximity.
Midmajor, Zaga is easily #1. I would actually put UNLV ahead of SDSU. UNLV has a lot of potential that's just unrealized. If they get a good coach, like they had for a bit with Lon Kruger, watch out. Then SDSU.