The 2022-2023 Season Thread
Posted: Thu Apr 01, 2021 7:22 am
This is a great lineup of teams. Very curious as to who will still be on the team as upperclassmen when this rolls around.
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I'd say Koloko's more 75/25. His stock has been rising. That dude will absolutely play in the NBA.RondaeShimmy wrote: Thu Mar 24, 2022 10:19 pm Mathurin 100% gone. Koloko 50/50. Terry 25/75
Everyone else back.
Could be right about Koloko. The one thing I noticed in the tournament is how unathletic our team is outside of Mathurin and Terry (Koloko is a big and is pretty mobile for a big).Beachcat97 wrote: Thu Mar 24, 2022 10:26 pmI'd say Koloko's more 75/25. His stock has been rising. That dude will absolutely play in the NBA.RondaeShimmy wrote: Thu Mar 24, 2022 10:19 pm Mathurin 100% gone. Koloko 50/50. Terry 25/75
Everyone else back.
Terry will be back.
Think we're looking at a starting five of:
Kriisa
Terry
Larsson
Tubelis
Ballo
Bench: Bal, Nowell, Anderson
We'll have to see what happens with our '23 commits reclassifying. I also expect we'll take some transfers.
Probably a good strategy. Hopefully he will be level headed and come back if he needs to. Right here though is the problem. We want a tough team but our guys jump as soon as they can. Houston has 3 graduate students and Edwards is a senior. That's how you build a team with tough defense. Their guys are completely bought inChicat wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 9:19 am Hearing Terry might test the waters just to see what his draft stock is.
I would if I was Terry. There's no penalty without an agent and he has a profile where I think there's no downside to gauging interest.Chicat wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 9:19 am Hearing Terry might test the waters just to see what his draft stock is.
Think that's smart.Chicat wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 9:19 am Hearing Terry might test the waters just to see what his draft stock is.
NBAdraft.net moved Koloko from 2023 to #25 in the 2022 draft after the TCU game.SabinoDrifter wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 10:29 am I went back to Sam Vecenie's mock draft last month and he had Koloko in the first round. I guess the big question is whether he takes another offseason to get stronger in his lower body and improve his post footwork, or does he expect to take that leap at the next level? I keep thinking back to him missing those two free throws against Oregon at McKale two years ago to where he's at today and the transformation has been incredible. I do think Tubelis can take a big, big jump next year if he focuses his offseason 100% on getting stronger to become a finisher at the rim and developing a right hand.
I never really agree with the idea Koloko stands to gain a lot by returning. The NBA basically DGAF about back to the basket centers and will work on physical stuff. He's shown he's a high level rim protector and rim runner, and that will get him 15-25. His stock reminds me a lot of guys like Jarrett Allen and Clint Capela, who went 22nd and 25th.AzCatFan2 wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 12:15 pm Benn is gone. Lottery pick. Koloko and Terry will test the waters. My guess is 50/50 on both. Koloko is a likely 1st round pick, but another year, he could play himself into the lottery. Terry has NBA potential, but could use another 15 pounds of muscle, and work on his shot/mid range game. I think Zu comes back. He and Kerr had awful tournaments, and I think both will want another shot at playing in the Big Dance.
Maybe Koloko can't improve his draft stock. But he want from 5.3 ppg and 4.8 rpg to 12.6 ppg and 7.3 rpg in one year. If he can put on another few pounds of muscle, and average closer to 15 and 8, Koloko could come out of college as the polished player that everyone hoped Bamba would become. It's a risk, for Koloko, because there is no guarantee he'll improve enough to make a difference. And if he doesn't, then he loses a year of NBA salary for what? A degree, which is nice, as I believe Koloko is on schedule to graduate next year. But you can always go back to school whenever you want.Spaceman Spiff wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 1:38 pmI never really agree with the idea Koloko stands to gain a lot by returning. The NBA basically DGAF about back to the basket centers and will work on physical stuff. He's shown he's a high level rim protector and rim runner, and that will get him 15-25. His stock reminds me a lot of guys like Jarrett Allen and Clint Capela, who went 22nd and 25th.AzCatFan2 wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 12:15 pm Benn is gone. Lottery pick. Koloko and Terry will test the waters. My guess is 50/50 on both. Koloko is a likely 1st round pick, but another year, he could play himself into the lottery. Terry has NBA potential, but could use another 15 pounds of muscle, and work on his shot/mid range game. I think Zu comes back. He and Kerr had awful tournaments, and I think both will want another shot at playing in the Big Dance.
The only similar guy(s) who made the lottery in the last 5 years are Jaxson Hayes and Mo Bamba. Both more or less produced similar to Koloko as freshman and made the lottery because of their long term potential being 19 and 20 in their rookie seasons. Koloko, if he left today, would ve 22 in his rookie year. I just see him as a guy who will almost forever be trapped in the 15-25 range because of his skill set.
Terry's more interesting. I fully agree on his J, but I could see a team taking a flyer on him based on physical profile and him sneaking in late first.
I'd tell him to test the waters, but with an expanded role available without Benn, he has good reasons to return too.
Kofi's a 1995 lottery pick. I mean it as a compliment and insult at the same time.RondaeShimmy wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 1:47 pm Someone with more insight can correct me but I think the idea of Koloko returning would be he'd get more outside shots (2-3 3s a game) to try to improve his draft stock.
Because he is who he is and his stock will likely be the same next year no matter what because he's not one dimensional like say Kofi.
Can you imagine the accolades that would roll in for CK if he comes back? Pre-season All-American, pre-season Naismith Award candidate, pre-season Pac 12 POY frontrunner...would be beautiful.Merkin wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 2:29 pm If Koloko works on getting an outside shot, he could become a lottery pick like Channing Frye, who played 13(?) years in the league. Channing was drafted as a senior. Let Koloko get some minutes as a stretch 4 when Ballo is on the court.
That's the wild card in all of it. He may just want to do one or the other.
I agree, Merkin! Koloko shooting that free thrown line extended shot like Frye did would be fantastic!Merkin wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 2:29 pm If Koloko works on getting an outside shot, he could become a lottery pick like Channing Frye, who played 13(?) years in the league. Channing was drafted as a senior. Let Koloko get some minutes as a stretch 4 when Ballo is on the court.
I believe you can now have an agent when determining your draft status. Makes no sense to not go for an evaluation. We differ on Koloko but your point that having peaked as a draft prospects is different from you peaked as a player is a good one.Spaceman Spiff wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 9:51 amI would if I was Terry. There's no penalty without an agent and he has a profile where I think there's no downside to gauging interest.Chicat wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 9:19 am Hearing Terry might test the waters just to see what his draft stock is.
Benn should be gone. Koloko should be as well unless he just personally prefers college. He's probably the single player with the biggest draft stock rise in the whole tourney.
I used to think Tubelis should. The way he finished the year, I pull it back because I doubt he gets the looks he wants from NBA teams. Plus, minus Benn, Koloko and maybe Terry, his role should expand a lot next year.
Well it took him quite awhile till he understood that is what he could offer that wasn't common and would keep him as a fringe player on a contender..Spaceman Spiff wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 3:02 pmThat's the wild card in all of it. He may just want to do one or the other.
The part I find interesting about the Frye comparison is it shows how much a player can develop in the NBA. Channing shot a total of 6-23 from 3 in his 4 years at Arizona, with 3-17 as a senior.
Basically, he left college not a 3 point threat, then proceeded to develop that portion of his game in the league so well he was eventually a 3 point specialist.
When he came into the league it was also extremely uncommon for guys 6’ 10” and up to play on the perimeter. He can thank Dirk and a few others for paving the way for the stretch 4.TheCat wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 4:20 pmWell it took him quite awhile till he understood that is what he could offer that wasn't common and would keep him as a fringe player on a contender..Spaceman Spiff wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 3:02 pmThat's the wild card in all of it. He may just want to do one or the other.
The part I find interesting about the Frye comparison is it shows how much a player can develop in the NBA. Channing shot a total of 6-23 from 3 in his 4 years at Arizona, with 3-17 as a senior.
Basically, he left college not a 3 point threat, then proceeded to develop that portion of his game in the league so well he was eventually a 3 point specialist.
It’s unusual to see guys projected 12 to 20 return to school. Not saying CK’s 100% gone, but I’d be pretty surprised to see him back.RaisingArizona wrote: Sat Mar 26, 2022 8:22 am I think Koloko can go 12 to 20ish. I've regularly seen it written that after the elite guys are gone GMs tend to look for elite skills to fill out roles on the roster. Koloko's defensive skills are A+++. Specifically his defensive skills away from the basket are going to be too much for some GM to pass in that range.
That's possible but I think Koloko should enter the draft. He's put on a lot of muscle and can put on more in the off season. I think he's as ready now as he's going to be. No upside to coming back and risking injury only to end up with nothing to show for it. Get that guaranteed money instead. We'll potentially have a lot of empty roster spots. Obviously BM but also Koloko and probably Terry. I could also see a transfer or two. Just how the college basketball world is now with the portal. We shall see.
If Koloko is more of a marginal first rounder, that means he could come back. I'd be a little surprised to see him leave unless he's got a first round guarantee.RondaeShimmy wrote: Mon Mar 28, 2022 7:42 am From Givony 's (who's probably the best in the business) latest mock has
Mathurin going #10
Koloko #36
That is more in line with what I've seen. I have never seen 12 on any mock draft. Hell Kentucky's center is in the 2nd round on some drafts. The question is will it improve if he comes back or stay the same.RondaeShimmy wrote: Mon Mar 28, 2022 7:42 am From Givony 's (who's probably the best in the business) latest mock has
Mathurin going #10
Koloko #36
Lloyd will basically decide this in Koloko's best interests. But the reason why his stock will improve with another year is because Koloko himself will improve. We enjoy repeating, "The NBA drafts on potential" but that's a really misleading oversimplification. While not improving as a player will lower one's stock, unrealized upside is worth less than demonstrated value, especially for a big who's still pretty new to basketball. He won't improve as a rim protector. But he can totally show next year how well he can guard multiple positions, once he takes the next step and stops committing unnecessary fouls that have nothing to do with getting beat.TheCat wrote: Mon Mar 28, 2022 11:28 amThat is more in line with what I've seen. I have never seen 12 on any mock draft. Hell Kentucky's center is in the 2nd round on some drafts. The question is will it improve if he comes back or stay the same.RondaeShimmy wrote: Mon Mar 28, 2022 7:42 am From Givony 's (who's probably the best in the business) latest mock has
Mathurin going #10
Koloko #36
The part I find interesting about Frye is its the last time a 7 footer over the age 21 was selected in the top 20.Spaceman Spiff wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 3:02 pmThat's the wild card in all of it. He may just want to do one or the other.
The part I find interesting about the Frye comparison is it shows how much a player can develop in the NBA. Channing shot a total of 6-23 from 3 in his 4 years at Arizona, with 3-17 as a senior.
Basically, he left college not a 3 point threat, then proceeded to develop that portion of his game in the league so well he was eventually a 3 point specialist.
I could not agree more with the bolded...well, really all your post. I'd 100% tell him to go. He's done what he can in college to maximize his draft stock.YoDeFoe wrote: Mon Mar 28, 2022 3:45 pmThe part I find interesting about Frye is its the last time a 7 footer over the age 21 was selected in the top 20.Spaceman Spiff wrote: Fri Mar 25, 2022 3:02 pmThat's the wild card in all of it. He may just want to do one or the other.
The part I find interesting about the Frye comparison is it shows how much a player can develop in the NBA. Channing shot a total of 6-23 from 3 in his 4 years at Arizona, with 3-17 as a senior.
Basically, he left college not a 3 point threat, then proceeded to develop that portion of his game in the league so well he was eventually a 3 point specialist.
If Koloko goes to the draft he'll probably get selected in the late first round. I could see him returning and getting selected in the same spot but I don't see a world where he comes back and upgrades his draft stock into the lottery as a 23 year old big man. Since it hasn't happened in about 20 years.
Koloko's biggest weaknesses are his lack of lower body strength and his limited offensive game - he can develop solid lower body strength in this offseason and he can develop and stretch out his jumper over a number of years of play. None of that requires Arizona. He should go.
no, just Larsson preparing to play 10-15 mins per game as Tubelis’ backup (while also playing another 10-15 mins at the 3). Larsson probably isn’t quick enough to consistently defend high level 1s/2s so makes sense to get him some minutes at the 4 imo.azcat49 wrote: Mon Mar 28, 2022 7:04 pm Do you would suggest moving Tubelis to the bench? I don’t think that would be in the plans at all unless he just has lost all confidence.
If Koloko and Terry return my guess would be they are both featured fully next year and Tubelis is going to be the next option. Our sanctions will play a huge role in what we do I think
Tubelis really hurts us with spacing in the half court because he can't shoot. It really hurt us if we have 3 guards out there of which one is inevitably going to have to play on the wings.goslingswagg wrote: Mon Mar 28, 2022 6:59 pm one thing I was thinking about for next year - this past year’s team ended up being hurt significantly not having a competent backup 4 behind Tubelis. I know Tommy prefers playing big, but I loved our lineups this year with Larsson at the 4. I wonder if we go all in on adding perimeter talent and work to prepare Larsson for that role next year. A “lineup of death” with Kerr, Boswell/GT guard X, Terry, Larsson, & the Euro would be very intriguing to me. We’d likely have Tubelis, Bal, Ballo, & Boswell/GT guard X on the bench too so still plenty of talent available.
yeah I agree with those needs - what I'm saying is I don't mind going after two guards if it means that we just use Larsson to fill that 3/4 hybrid role, because I think he can do it and also is probably a better fit for that role than he is as a combo-guard type player. He just isn't quick enough to defend those types, but can be very good defensively if he's matched up against the 3/4 hybrid forwards out there (e.g., Jacquez, Guerrier, etc.).RondaeShimmy wrote: Tue Mar 29, 2022 9:23 amTubelis really hurts us with spacing in the half court because he can't shoot. It really hurt us if we have 3 guards out there of which one is inevitably going to have to play on the wings.goslingswagg wrote: Mon Mar 28, 2022 6:59 pm one thing I was thinking about for next year - this past year’s team ended up being hurt significantly not having a competent backup 4 behind Tubelis. I know Tommy prefers playing big, but I loved our lineups this year with Larsson at the 4. I wonder if we go all in on adding perimeter talent and work to prepare Larsson for that role next year. A “lineup of death” with Kerr, Boswell/GT guard X, Terry, Larsson, & the Euro would be very intriguing to me. We’d likely have Tubelis, Bal, Ballo, & Boswell/GT guard X on the bench too so still plenty of talent available.
Our grad transfers should only be two positions of need imo. PG/CG if Boswell doesn't reclassify and a 3/4 hybrid or smaller than Tubelis but more athletic 4.